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Showing posts with label IPHS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IPHS. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

NE and IPHS sold

NE and IPHS broke their stop loss, so we sold them.

We bought NE on March 16th 2009 at around $24.39 and sold it yesterday June 22nd at around $31.52 for a 29% gain.

IPHS was bought on march 18th at around $9.47 and sold on June 22nd at around $15.12 for a 59% gain.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

An update on Stop Loss orders

In this volatile market we should pay attention to protect our gains, specially for those positions on which we are gaining well.




Let's take our four best performers: TRLG (up 105%), AFAM (up 81%), IPHS (up 61%) and WDC (up 42%).



I would suggest to:
  1. Almost Family, Inc. (AFAM) move the stop loss from $21.22 to $21.45
  2. Innophos Holdings, Inc. (IPHS) move the stop loss from $12.21 to $12.60
  3. True Religion Apparel, Inc. (TRLG) move the stop loss from $14.01 to $14.37
  4. WESTERN DIGITAL CP (WDC) move the stop loss from $20.51 to $20.52
Happy trading

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Current Portfolio

May 10th 2009


SymbolLast TradePrice PaidGain/Loss %Stop Loss
ADBE $25.42$18.70 35.93 $23.32
ADM $26.97$25.40 6.18 $23.20
AFAM $31.55$17.41 81.21 $21.22
DECK $59.00$50.81 16.11 $54.23
ENDP $16.34$17.38 -5.99 $14.89
FLR $45.17$37.99 18.89 $36.61
FLS $74.38$52.57 41.48 $59.19
GIGM $6.43 $6.53 -1.53 $5.64
IPHS $15.81$9.47 66.94 $12.21
MVL $33.24$24.35 36.50 $27.35
NCTY $9.24$9.30 -0.65 $8.10
NE $30.90$24.39 26.69 $26.04
NRG $21.19$18.98 11.64 $16.35
RECN $19.77$14.04 40.81 $16.49
TRLG $21.97$10.53 108.64 $14.01
VPHM $6.03$4.71 28.02 $4.82
WDC $23.71$16.20 46.35 $20.51

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Updated Stop Loss

May 6th 2009

ADBE: stop loss $23.14
ADM: stop loss $23.20
AFAM: stop loss $20.83
DECK: stop loss $54.59
ENDP: stop loss $14.89
FLR: stop loss $36.61
FLS: stop loss $58.45
IPHS: stop loss $11.99
MVL: stop loss $26.77
NCTY: stop loss $8.10
NE: stop loss $25.42
NRG: stop loss $16.35
RECN: stop loss $16.02
TRLG: stop loss $12.97
VPHM: stop loss $4.71
WDC: stop loss $20.09

IPHS

On March 17th my system gave me the signal to buy IPHS.

From August 2008 to March 2009 IPHS decline from over $40 to less than $8.
During this dive it continued to make money and its PE ratio became more and more interesting.
In addition to that, from March 2nd 2009 my humble system started to tell me to watch IPHS for a possible trend inversion.

As I said, the signal arrived on March 17th and I was able to buy IPHS at $9.47. IPHS posted very good results yesterday, better than forecasts, and it gained 11%, closing over $17.

Analyzing IPHS fundamentals we see that it has an excellent value: very low PE and Price to Cash Flow, low Price Sales and average Price Book.
It still has good Current and Quick ratios, but it is using debt quite aggressively, compared to the industry average.
Finally it has first class profitability, growth and management effectiveness (best ROE in industry).

So the question is: should you buy IPHS? I would say "No". It may even go back to $40 and over, but IMHO buying IPHS now may be risky. Let's keep a stop loss on it at $11.93.

Current Portfolio

May 5th 2009

SymbolLast TradePrice PaidGain/Loss %Stop Loss
ADBE$26.69$18.7042.72$23.08
ADM$26.17$25.403.03$23.20
AFAM$25.96$17.4149.10$20.75
DECK$59.10$50.8116.31$54.23
ENDP$16.56$17.38-4.72$14.89
FLR$40.77$37.997.31$35.68
FLS$70.95$52.5734.96$58.23
IPHS$17.12$9.4780.78$11.93
MVL$31.10$24.3527.72$26.83
NCTY$9.66$9.303.87$8.10
NE$30.21$24.3923.86$25.21
NRG$19.48$18.982.63$16.35
RECN$20.01$14.0442.52$15.78
TRLG$17.53$10.5366.47$12.79
VPHM$5.42$4.7115.28$4.71
WDC$24.26$16.2049.75$19.86

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Current Portfolio

May 3rd 2009

SymbolLast TradePrice PaidGain/Loss %Stop Loss
ADBE$27.46$18.7046.79$22.84
AFAM$25.09$17.4144.11$20.64
DECK$56.11$50.8110.43$54.23
ENDP$16.51$17.38-5.00$14.89
FLR$37.73$37.99-0.68$35.68
FLS$69.81$52.5732.79$57.82
IPHS$15.33$9.4761.87$11.80
MVL$30.22$24.3524.10$26.68
NCTY$9.35$9.300.53$8.10
NE$28.45$24.3916.64$25.21
NRG$18.98$18.98-$16.35
RECN$19.42$14.0438.31$15.78
TRLG$16.88$10.5360.30$12.79
VPHM$5.49$4.7116.56$4.71
WDC$23.39$16.2044.38$19.86

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Current Portfolio

April 30th 2009

SymbolLast TradePrice PaidGain/Loss %Stop Loss
ADBE$26.75$18.7042.7121.75
AFAM$24.32$17.4139.3219.10
DECK$57.3$50.8112.553.99
ENDP$17.28$17.38-0.7914.89
FLR$38.2$37.990.3335.68
FLS$64.88$52.5723.1255.36
IPHS$15.1$9.4759.1611.16
MVL$31.03$24.3527.1425.30
NE$27.97$24.3914.4424.53
RECN$19.92$14.0441.5415.12
TRLG$16.36$10.5355.0611.93
VPHM$5.59$4.7118.444.25
WDC$22.05$16.2035.7819.24