Coming back

Hello everybody. Sorry, I disappeared.
In fact my family grew a few weeks ago and I had to work night and day to take care of my newly arrived little lady.

It is now time to restart our trading activity. In the meanwhile, after DECK, ADBE and FLR, we sold APOL, DISH, NRG and MVL.

I am sorry I did not post the updated stop loss prices, but if you followed my free stop loss calculator you should have sold at prices similar to mine.

Let's quickly review our last trades:

• We sold APOL at $64.7 on July 13th. We bought it at $62.87 on May 19th for a modest 2.9% gain.
• Bad luck with DISH. We bought it at $15.89 and sold it at $14.33 for a 10% loss. It then went over $19, but I really had no time to follow it.
• We sold NRG at $22.3 on July 21st, after having bought it at $19.56 on May 4th for a 14% gain.
• Finally, on August 17th we sold MVL at $37.87. We bought it on March 24th at $24.35 for a good 55% gain.

On average we made a 15% gain on these four trades.

That's all for now. Hopefully this week i will be able to analyze some new stocks. But at the same time let' keep an eye on the markets. They look very uncertain to me...

Updated Stop Loss

June 22nd 2009

Current Portfolio

May 10th 2009

Symbol	Last Trade	Price Paid	Gain/Loss %	Stop Loss
ADBE	$25.42	$18.70	35.93	$23.32
ADM	$26.97	$25.40	6.18	$23.20
AFAM	$31.55	$17.41	81.21	$21.22
DECK	$59.00	$50.81	16.11	$54.23
ENDP	$16.34	$17.38	-5.99	$14.89
FLR	$45.17	$37.99	18.89	$36.61
FLS	$74.38	$52.57	41.48	$59.19
GIGM	$6.43	$6.53	-1.53	$5.64
IPHS	$15.81	$9.47	66.94	$12.21
MVL	$33.24	$24.35	36.50	$27.35
NCTY	$9.24	$9.30	-0.65	$8.10
NE	$30.90	$24.39	26.69	$26.04
NRG	$21.19	$18.98	11.64	$16.35
RECN	$19.77	$14.04	40.81	$16.49
TRLG	$21.97	$10.53	108.64	$14.01
VPHM	$6.03	$4.71	28.02	$4.82
WDC	$23.71	$16.20	46.35	$20.51

Updated Stop Loss

May 6th 2009

ADBE: stop loss $23.14
ADM: stop loss $23.20
AFAM: stop loss $20.83
DECK: stop loss $54.59
ENDP: stop loss $14.89
FLR: stop loss $36.61
FLS: stop loss $58.45
IPHS: stop loss $11.99
MVL: stop loss $26.77
NCTY: stop loss $8.10
NE: stop loss $25.42
NRG: stop loss $16.35
RECN: stop loss $16.02
TRLG: stop loss $12.97
VPHM: stop loss $4.71
WDC: stop loss $20.09

Current Portfolio

May 5th 2009

Symbol	Last Trade	Price Paid	Gain/Loss %	Stop Loss
ADBE	$26.69	$18.70	42.72	$23.08
ADM	$26.17	$25.40	3.03	$23.20
AFAM	$25.96	$17.41	49.10	$20.75
DECK	$59.10	$50.81	16.31	$54.23
ENDP	$16.56	$17.38	-4.72	$14.89
FLR	$40.77	$37.99	7.31	$35.68
FLS	$70.95	$52.57	34.96	$58.23
IPHS	$17.12	$9.47	80.78	$11.93
MVL	$31.10	$24.35	27.72	$26.83
NCTY	$9.66	$9.30	3.87	$8.10
NE	$30.21	$24.39	23.86	$25.21
NRG	$19.48	$18.98	2.63	$16.35
RECN	$20.01	$14.04	42.52	$15.78
TRLG	$17.53	$10.53	66.47	$12.79
VPHM	$5.42	$4.71	15.28	$4.71
WDC	$24.26	$16.20	49.75	$19.86

Current Portfolio

May 3rd 2009

Symbol	Last Trade	Price Paid	Gain/Loss %	Stop Loss
ADBE	$27.46	$18.70	46.79	$22.84
AFAM	$25.09	$17.41	44.11	$20.64
DECK	$56.11	$50.81	10.43	$54.23
ENDP	$16.51	$17.38	-5.00	$14.89
FLR	$37.73	$37.99	-0.68	$35.68
FLS	$69.81	$52.57	32.79	$57.82
IPHS	$15.33	$9.47	61.87	$11.80
MVL	$30.22	$24.35	24.10	$26.68
NCTY	$9.35	$9.30	0.53	$8.10
NE	$28.45	$24.39	16.64	$25.21
NRG	$18.98	$18.98	-	$16.35
RECN	$19.42	$14.04	38.31	$15.78
TRLG	$16.88	$10.53	60.30	$12.79
VPHM	$5.49	$4.71	16.56	$4.71
WDC	$23.39	$16.20	44.38	$19.86

Time to buy NRG

May 2nd 2009

I believe it is time to buy NRG. Here's why.

In its industry (Utilities : Electric Utilities) NRG is fundamentally well positioned. I like its value indicators:

• NRG is in the cheapest 20% of its industry if analyzed on PE, Price/Book and Price/Cash Flow, and it has an average Price/Sales
• It has good Current and Quick Ratios, although it has a little high Debt/Equity Ratio
• Profitability is in the best 20% of its industry, as its ROI and ROE
• Finally, EPS and Sales Growth are better than industry average

In addition to that, technical indicators show that NRG's down trend is likely to be finished.

I would suggest to buy NRG with an initial stop loss at $16.35.

Stocks to watch

April 30th 2009

Stocks to watch for buying soon:

• Maxygen, Inc. (MAXY)
• NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)
• The9 Limited (ADR) (NCTY)